It's time for 2006 Nobel Prize in Economic Science predictions.
Not much has changed from the last two years: I think Jagdish Bhagwati is at the top of the list.
My predictions last year were much more fully fleshed out - and amazingly I had Schelling ranked second (even though I am not well-versed in any of his work).
Tullock and Harberger are possibilities if the committee decides to make a statement before they pass on, but this seems doubtful.
Finance is even more due this year than last. I think Fama is a good bet there, although he won't win solo. But who to pair with him? I wouldn't be surprised if it is Thaler, and they call them bookends.
Lastly, I have a soft spot for Dale Jorgenson.
The rest of my short list is Dixit, Helpman, Grossman, Krugman, Baumol, Phelps, Williamson, Sims, Diamond, Cass, Shell and Romer.
OK. Now I've committed my thoughts to e-paper without looking at the predictions of others. Time to go browse the blogosphere.
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