Climate models predicted temperature would go up more than it has.
"This is neither surprising nor particularly troubling to me as a climate scientist," Melanie Fitzpatrick, a climate scientist with the Union of Concerned Scientists …
What complete nonsense.
Essentially all of the models are on the wrong side (114 out of 117).
This is not a little bit of bias. You could ask die-hard fans how the home team is going to do this week and not get that sort of result.
Statisticians teach that some bias may be OK, if your overall accuracy is better. But, of course, with climate models, no one has ever claimed (or reasonably expected) these these to be very accurate. Given that, unbiased estimates are critical to any claim that you know what’s going on.
My call is that this is a big sign that they don’t know what’s going on.