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« My Secret Wish | Main | Economics, Short and Sweet »

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Half Sigma

All finance professors are plagued by the believe that markets are efficient, and efficiency means no one can beat the market.

However, this is not true. It's quite easy to beat the market through contrarian investing. I've beat the market every year since I started seriously playing it in 2000.

john top

It's not that it's necessarily that finance professors believe that beating the market is impossible, it's just that it's difficult to distinguish between beating the market because of skill versus beating the market because of luck. While half sigma might not attribute his or her returns to good luck, a lot of people often attribute poor returns to bad luck. The luck has to run both ways.

Dave Tufte

To be honest, I most associate this view with not one, but three finance professors where the careers of John Top and myself intersected.

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