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I wouldn't worry about melting down a 3D printed gun anytime soon. He might have printed it, but the important parts are still in metal, like the barrel. What was important was the creation of the lower receiver which is normally the bit with the serial number on it.

However it's still just as easy to make it out of metal. Just that you need a different set of tools. A CNC machine rather than the 3D printer. In fact the guy took the plans for a CNC version and modded for the 3D printer.

Dave Tufte

Thanks. You obviously know a lot more about this than I do.

Even so, a CNC usually runs several thousand dollars used. My understanding is that they also require more specialized training (but nothing that a high school graduate can't master).

mike shupp

For the moment, 3-D printing involves layers of plastic resin or other sprayable stuff; the bonding is rather loose. You can tear the stuff apart with your hands,in other words. We're not yet at the point of making dependable gun barrels, or better yet retail-grade diamonds. Paper currency, however ...

David Tufte

The creator claims to have fired the printed gun over 200 times.

mike shupp

The plastic parts that move the bullet to the chamber, yes, and the stock -- that works. But taking several thousand PSI for thousandths of a second as the gun powder goes off -- that's still metal.

David Tufte

I think you're playing the devil's advocate Mike. It's a proof-of-principle. Something has been done that wasn't done before; we're quibbling about the border where it might get more serious.

I'm playing the devil's advocate too: a line in the sand has been crossed, and yes, there's another line in the sand in front of us. It too will be crossed.

mike shupp

I concede your point -- 3-D printing has great potential, maybe as much as Henry Ford's assembly line. And probably we'll get across that second "line in the sand" you point to. That said, my suspicion is that for next century or so, the MARGINAL cost of production of most manufactured goods will be cheaper by current conventional manufacturing than by 3-D printer, Presumably, for some number of specialty items, AVERAGE production costs might be less for 30D printing, leading over time to a hollowing out of traditional manufacturing, leading to increased use of 3-D printing, leading to ...

Other hand, to play the devil's advocate more thoroughly, consider the following technologies:

Oceanography & Marine Engineering
Supersonic passenger flight
Nuclear power generation
Ocean thermal gradiant power generation
Maglev and monorail transport
Nano technology

Not a one of these apparently promising tech fields has amounted to much, and I doubt there's an economist in the country that's troubled by this. Health care and computers and the internet are sexier, and far more certain to attract Federal funds.

David Tufte

Oooh ... now this is getting interesting.

What I think is fundamentally different about 3-D printing is that the marginal cost of the first item may be much lower.

For most conventional manufacturing processes, the marginal cost of the first unit is exceptionally high. It takes a lot of vision to see that if you scale production up enough that you get to a point where marginal costs might be low enough to make retail viable.

The promise of 3-D printing is that the fixed costs that lead to that conclusion will be reduced so much that your (correct) point about how manufacturing works now won't make much difference to how it works in the future.


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mike shupp

That's an AMAZINGLY good point, and I'm going to have to think about it (I try to write science fiction now and then).

What's going to be interesting is when designers start coming up with machines and devices than can be ONLY be built by 3-D printers. Another interesting possibility is that 3-D printing may lead to very tight tolerance control -- less slop, in other words -- which ought to have interesting payoffs in reliability.

Dave Tufte

Why, thank you! (There's more below at the *).

I like your second paragraph, but I can't conceive of what this might be. Perhaps something that has to be done from the inside out? Or maybe something that doesn't work well on the inside when it is assembled out of parts?

* In microeconomics, there's a related idea called the shutdown rule. Basically, you'll stay open for business, even if you're losing money, if you can more than cover your variable costs. You'll do this because your variable costs are covered, and you've got some leftover to cover your fixed costs (which you'll have to pay anyway).

So here's the thing. In traditional manufacturing, where fixed costs are high, there's a big range of outputs where it makes sense to stay open even if you're losing money. If 3-D printing does in fact lead to lower fixed costs, it will make that window narrower ... meaning the 3-D printing operations should not only wink into existence more readily, but also wink out of it more readily too. So, free entry and free exit become much more prevalent.

Again ... a big problem for a government trying to keep track of guns or other contraband.

And not a another new branch of thought. Regulators and bureaucrats aren't very fond of free entry and exit. How will they respond if it becomes more common?


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